Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

PRIORITY
Coastal Waters Wind Warning
For waters from Daly River Mouth to Alyangula.
Issued at 2:20 pm CST on Thursday 8 January 2009

Synoptic situation
The monsoon trough is located near the southern coast of the Gulf of Carpentaria
with a tropical low near Mornington Island. The low is expected to remain slow
moving over water for the next few days and may develop into a tropical cyclone
later in the weekend.

Strong Wind Warning
Daly River Mouth to Alyangula
West/northwest winds increasing to 20/30 knots Friday morning. Seas rising to
3m.

These conditions should then persist for at least 48 hours.

The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm CST.

Please be aware
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

FLOOD THREAT ADVICE
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 1101 CST Thursday 8 JANUARY 2009

AREA INVOLVED
Arnhem and Roper-McArthur Districts.

RAINFALL SUMMARY
Scattered falls of 10-20mm, mostly with isolated afternoon storms, with isolated
falls 30-70mm. A single heavy fall over 100mm at Elcho Island.

WEATHER SUMMARY
The monsoon trough lies near the base of the Top End with a low near the coast
in the southern Gulf of Carpentaria the main focus for storm activity. The
trough is expected to move a little further northwards and deepen. The low may
also develop further.

FORECAST for the rest of today and Friday
Scattered falls 10-20mm today, mostly from isolated afternoon and evening
showers and storms, with isolated heavier falls 30-70mm. These falls will be
isolated enough that they will contribute little to any flooding of stream
rises.

On Friday, storms increasing around the Gulf of Carpentaria as the monsoon
trough deepens and the low possibly develops. Scattered falls 30-50mm developing
over the Arnhem and Roper-McArthur districts and isolated heavy falls 50-100mm.
These heavy falls may lead to significant stream rises and flooding of low lying
areas in the Arnhem district and add to widespread flooding in the
Roper-McArthur district.

OUTLOOK for Saturday and Sunday
Dependent on the development and movement of the monsoon trough and low.
However, widespread falls of 30-50mm are likely over the Arnhem and
Roper-McArthur districts with scattered heavier falls 50-100m and isolated falls
over 100mm. These heavy falls may lead to significant stream rises and flooding
of low lying areas in the Arnhem district and add to widespread flooding in the
Roper-McArthur district.

NEXT ADVICE
Around 11 am Friday.

DARWIN Regional Forecasting Centre.